MSR Decode
MSR DECODE · July 2026 cycle · №3 of 25

maz26

0x67542c3219b37fd1610aad290676ff91cdbfe3bc

$3.2M · 30-day displayed profit

Insufficient evidence

The book won’t reconcile — we can’t verify how this money was made, so we won’t guess. That’s the answer, and it’s often the one that saves you.

Not copyable

Polymarket displayed
$3.24M
MSR reconstructed
$-7.15M
-220.4% of displayed

Reconstruction error for all 25 wallets this cycle — including the ones we got wrong — is published in the reconstruction workpaper.

Directional
75.6%
Post-resolution
0%
Bilateral (two-sided)
24.4%

Our own fill log for this book is truncated, so rebuilding it lands at −220% of displayed — a figure about our fetch as much as about the wallet. MM-leaning on structure; the gap is unreconciled and we attribute it to neither.

The book won’t reconcile from public data, so we don’t guess. That refusal is the product. Our verbatim rationale for this wallet is on file in the reconstruction workpaper, next to the errors on the wallets we did score.

38386 fills · 135 markets · avg buy $0.662 · top market: Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Get the full Decode Report on maz26 — the fill-by-fill ledger, the mechanism decomposition, and the written argument for the verdict.

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