Research and education, not investment advice.

MSR Decode publishes forensic analysis of public on-chain prediction-market data. Nothing on this site — a verdict, a decode, a Scorecard entry, or a copy ticket — is a recommendation to buy, sell, copy, or avoid any wallet, market, or strategy. We are not a registered investment adviser and nothing here is personalized financial advice. If you need investment advice, consult a licensed professional.

A verdict describes what a wallet's past fills, on public record, appear to show about how it made money. Past performance — ours or any wallet's — does not predict future results. A wallet stamped “Real edge” can still lose money going forward, and nothing on this site promises otherwise.

Every verdict is an opinion, formed from a disclosed methodology applied to public on-chain data and Polymarket's own published API responses. The method — fill-history fetch, per-fill cost-basis reconstruction, and strategy classification — is described on the Method page and detailed further in the reconstruction workpaper. We do not allege wrongdoing by any wallet owner; we classify pseudonymous addresses, not identified people.

When we find an error in a published number or claim, we correct it, dated, and we do not quietly improve a frozen metric after the fact — even in our own favor. Open questions we have not yet resolved are logged, not hidden, in the public unreconciled-items ledger. If you believe something on this site is wrong, tell us: cparkreal25@gmail.com.

The decode console, the copy-ticket routing, and the underlying reconstruction engine are beta software. They are provided “as is,” without warranty of any kind, express or implied. We do not warrant that the site will be uninterrupted, error-free, or that every wallet request will be answered within any particular time.

See our Privacy Policy for what we collect and how it's used. In short: your email is used only to respond to what you asked for, and we do not sell it.

These terms may change. We will update this page when they do. Continued use of the site after a change constitutes acceptance of the updated terms.